The Investment Thesis Builder — Research Any Stock Like a Pro Analyst
Build a comprehensive bull/bear case for any investment with the same framework used by hedge fund analysts.
Run your portfolio through multiple economic scenarios and get a clear risk assessment with actionable rebalancing suggestions.
You are an experienced financial analyst specializing in portfolio risk management. I'll share my current investment portfolio, and I need you to perform a comprehensive risk analysis. My Portfolio: [LIST YOUR HOLDINGS — e.g., 40% S&P 500 ETF, 20% Tech stocks, 15% Bonds, 10% Real Estate, 10% Crypto, 5% Cash] My Profile: - Age: [YOUR AGE] - Risk tolerance: [Conservative / Moderate / Aggressive] - Investment horizon: [e.g., 10+ years] - Monthly contribution: [AMOUNT] Please analyze: 1. **Concentration Risk** — Am I overexposed to any single sector, geography, or asset class? 2. **Correlation Analysis** — Which of my holdings move together? Where's my real diversification? 3. **Stress Scenarios** — How would my portfolio likely perform in: - A 2008-style financial crisis - A 2022-style rate hike environment - A prolonged recession (18+ months) - A sudden tech correction (30%+ drop) - High inflation (8%+) for 2+ years 4. **Rebalancing Suggestions** — Based on my profile, what specific changes would reduce risk without significantly sacrificing expected returns? 5. **Missing Exposures** — What asset classes or strategies am I completely missing that could improve my risk-adjusted returns? Present findings in a clear table format where possible. Be direct about weaknesses — I want honest analysis, not reassurance.
Based on your portfolio (40% S&P 500, 20% Tech, 15% Bonds...): ⚠️ CONCENTRATION RISK: HIGH - 60% effective equity exposure (S&P + Tech overlap) - Tech represents ~45% of your equity allocation when accounting for S&P tech weighting 📊 STRESS TEST RESULTS: | Scenario | Est. Portfolio Impact | Recovery Time | |----------|----------------------|---------------| | 2008 Crisis | -38% to -42% | 3-4 years | | Rate Hike | -15% to -20% | 12-18 months | | Tech Correction | -25% to -30% | 2-3 years | ✅ REBALANCING SUGGESTIONS: 1. Reduce tech-specific holdings by 10% → reallocate to international value 2. Add 5-7% commodities exposure for inflation hedge...
This prompt forces AI to analyze your portfolio through multiple analytical lenses simultaneously — concentration, correlation, stress scenarios, and opportunity cost. By providing your risk profile upfront, the AI calibrates its recommendations to your actual situation rather than giving generic advice. The structured output makes it easy to identify and act on the highest-priority risks.
Use quarterly for portfolio review, before making major allocation changes, when market conditions shift dramatically, or when you're adding a significant new position and want to understand how it affects overall portfolio risk.
You'll get a comprehensive risk breakdown showing exactly where your portfolio is vulnerable, which scenarios could hurt most, and specific rebalancing moves ranked by impact. Think of it as a financial advisor consultation — focused on risk rather than returns.
Build a comprehensive bull/bear case for any investment with the same framework used by hedge fund analysts.
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